Regional climate projections

New climate change snapshots have been released by the NSW and ACT Regional Climate Projections (NARCliM) project. This world-leading research provides information down to the nearest 10 kilometres - the finest climate projections for the region available for near future (2030) and far future (2070).

The most recent ACT climate change snapshot indicates that the:

  • Territory will continue to warm by about 0.7oC in the near future (2020–39), increasing to about 2oC in the far future (2060–79)
  • the number of hot days is expected to increase to an average of five extra days above 35oC by 2030 and up to an average of 20 extra heatwave days by 2070
  • number of cold nights will reduce, with temperatures dipping below 2oC, an average of 13 fewer times each year by 2030 and 43 fewer times each year by 2070
  • amount of rainfall is expected to decrease in spring and increase in autumn.
  • storm season will be longer
  • number of severe fire weather days will increase in summer and spring.

Researchers and the wider community can access data through AdaptNSW.

The NARCliM project was funded by the ACT and NSW governments and produced by the University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre.

  • ACT-Climate-change-snapshot

The NARCliM projections are important:

  1. to the ACT Government’s work in adapting our city to a changing climate and protecting and managing our natural environment, including our national significant woodland communities
  2. for helping households, businesses and the wider community to respond to more severe storms and longer heatwaves
  3. for planners and designers who work with our buildings and infrastructure to make sure they’re climate resilient.  

More information on NARCliM projections: AdaptNSW.

If you want to learn more about climate change, preparing for change and the science behind our changing climate, visit Acstmart, the ACT Government’s online sustainability hub.